Taking a look at local population

According to Census, county population fell, city population rose

Staff reports

According to the U.S. 2020 Census, the total population in Fayette County decreased by a small amount since the 2010 Census.

Fayette County’s population in the 2010 Census was 29,030 while the total population in the 2020 Census was 28,951 — a dip of 79 people.

A decrease in population is not surprising considering the U.S. population growth dipped to its lowest rate since the nation’s founding during the first year of the pandemic. The coronavirus curtailed immigration, delayed pregnancies and killed hundreds of thousands of U.S. residents, according to figures released last week.

The United States grew by only 0.1%, with an additional 392,665 added to the U.S. population from July 2020 to July 2021, bringing the nation’s count to 331.8 million people, according to population estimates released by the U.S. Census Bureau.

While the population within Fayette County has decreased over time, the population of the City of Washington Court House has increased. In the 2010 Census, Washington C.H. had a population of 14,192, and in the 2020 Census, the population was 14,401 — 209 more people than the 2010 Census.

According to the U. S. Census Bureau’s Quick Facts, Washington Court House’s population growth of 209 people exceeded that of Chillicothe’s 158 person gain, Wilmington’s 144 person gain and Hillsboro’s 124 person decline.

“A lot of rural communities have experienced population decline. I am pleased that our population shows growth despite the great recession and the pandemic,” said Washington Court House City Manager Joe Denen.

The U.S. has been experiencing slow population growth for years but the pandemic exacerbated that trend. This past year was the first time since 1937 that the nation’s population grew by less than 1 million people.

“I was expecting low growth but nothing this low,” said William Frey, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution’s metropolitan policy program, Brookings Metro. “It tells us that this pandemic has had a huge impact on us in all kinds of ways, and now demography.”

Once there’s a handle on the pandemic, the U.S. may eventually see a decrease in deaths, but population growth likely won’t bounce back to what it has been in years past because of fewer births. That will increase the need for immigration by younger workers whose taxes can support programs such as Social Security, Frey said.

“We have an aging population and that means fewer women in child-bearing ages,” Frey said. “We see younger people putting off having children and they’re going to have fewer children.”

The decision not to have children by young families may be driven by financial worries as much, if not more, than health concerns, said Linda Kahn, a professor at New York University and lead researcher in a study that showed that almost half of New York City mothers who had been trying to become pregnant before the pandemic began in March 2020 stopped in the first few months of the outbreak.

“COVID really was a stress test of our whole system and how it fails to support women and families,” Kahn said. “Women were much harder hit in the pandemic. They lost their jobs at greater rates and had to give up their jobs, often to do home-schooling. The pressures on women were enormous and there’s really no safety net in the U.S.”

The U.S. Census Bureau’s Quick Facts provides various pieces of information. The percentage of females in Fayette County matches the percentage of females in the country at 50.8%.

The Quick Facts also provides information on population by age. Those under 5 years of age in Washington Court House make up 7.4% of the population, Chillicothe 7.3%, Wilmington 6.5% and Hillsboro 6%. Under 18 years of age: Washington Court House 25%, Hillsboro 22.5%, Wilmington 22.3% and Chillicothe 21.8%. Those 65 years and over: Hillsboro 23.3%, Chillicothe 20%, Washington Court House 19% and Wilmington 17.8%.

From 2015-2019 there were 1,800 veterans in Fayette County.

Of the total county population, 14.8% under the age of 65 had a disability (U.S. 8.6%) and 8.5% of people under 65 did not have health insurance (U.S. 10.2%).

The median household income in 2015-2019 was $47,308 (U.S. $62,843) and 13.8% (U.S. 11.4%) lived in poverty.

When information was collected in 2019, there were 12,817 housing units, of which only 64.9% were owner occupied. The median value of those owner-occupied housing units was $113,500. The median gross rent from 2015-2019 in the county was $718.

Of the total population in Fayette County, 85.7% of people over the age of 25 were high school graduates or higher while 16.3% held a Bachelor’s degree or higher.

Country-wide, for the first time, international migration surpassed natural increases that come from births outnumbering deaths. There was a net increase of nearly 245,000 residents from international migration but only about 148,000 from new births outnumbering deaths.

International migration dropped by about half from the previous year because of COVID-19 restrictions, such as borders being closed for nonessential travel and the closure of many consulates abroad where visas are issued. As recently as 2016, the U.S. had a net increase of more than 1 million international migrants.

In more than two dozen states, most notably Florida, deaths outnumbered births. Deaths exceeded births in Florida by more than 45,000 people, but the state’s saving grace was a migration gain of more than 259,000 people, the nation’s highest.

University of New Hampshire demographer Kenneth Johnson described the decline in the United States’ natural population increase as “stunning,” saying it was the smallest spread of births over deaths in more than 80 years.

“Of course most of this is COVID, but not all of it,” Johnson said. “U.S. natural increase was already at a low ebb prior to COVID with the fertility rate hitting a new record low each year and deaths steadily rising due to the population aging.”

Between 2020 and 2021, 33 states saw population increases, primarily through domestic migration, while 17 states and the District of Columbia lost population.

States in the Mountain West saw the biggest year-over-year growth rate, with Idaho growing by almost 3%, and Utah and Montana each seeing population increases of 1.7%. The District of Columbia lost 2.9% of its population, while New York and Illinois lost 1.6% and 0.9% of their populations, respectively. In pure numbers, California had the greatest net population loss of any state from people leaving: almost 353,000.

While the pandemic gave some people the option of working remotely, data released last month by the Census Bureau shows there was no great migration in the U.S. because of it.

The Associated Press and Washington Court House City Manager Joe Denen contributed to this article.

Reach journalist Jennifer Woods at 740-313-0355.

According to Census, county population fell, city population rose

Staff reports